Tag Archive: Andy Reid


By:  Raymond “Big Play” Miller

Follow Me or ask me about other good bets @bprunsportsmenm

Before the season started I saw these two match ups on the NFL Week 3 schedule and said to myself that this could be called “Revenge of the Fallen” with Andy Reid going back to Philly and Ed Reed going back to Baltimore, so here’s the advantages I see in these match ups and who will win and why:

Kansas City @ PHILADELPHIA (-3 51)

 

Chiefs advantage: a balanced ball control attack with a QB in Smith that doesn’t turn the ball over.  Smith will make the checkdowns to get Charles out in space and the fact that they want to win this game badly for Reid.

andy

 

Eagles advantage: tempo, TEMpo, and more TEMPO!  The Eagles can run a multitude of plays which won’t allow the Chiefs to sub in and out.  Facing Shady McCoy and DJax (his play this year lets us know he didn’t give a damn last year) that won’t be an easy task for the Chiefs.

shady

 

Who will win and why: Chiefs +3 and the over, in two games the Eagles haven’t stopped anyone and J. Charles and D. Bowe will be the best skill players at their respective positions that the Eagles have faced thus far. The fact McNabb’s number is being retired will just make it an awful night for the fans of Philly. Kansas City wins 31-27

 

Houston (-2 1/2) @ Baltimore

 

Texans advantage: The passing game!  Schaub already had Johnson and Daniels, but with the sudden emergence of Hopkins to go along with Foster on check downs;  it could be a long day for Baltimore’s secondary.

Texan

 

Ravens advantage: Physicality!  The Texans are a team that doesn’t like to play physical offensively.  Flacco should be able to stretch the field with Smith for some huge gains, and the combo of Dumervil and T-Sizzle (Ball So Hard University) can wreck any teams game plan.

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers AFC Championship

Who will win and why: Texans -2.5 and the over.  Normally, I would take the Ravens, but I just don’t think they can score right now to keep up with the Texans.  Plus J.J. Watt!!!!! is due for a big game. Texans 31-17

Raymond "Big Play" Miller @bprunsportsmenm

Raymond “Big Play” Miller
@bprunsportsmenm

 

By: Jason “Big J” Allen

Follow Me @UnsportsmenBigJ

The average fan hates it.  The purist will take something over nothing.  Some view it as a way to get a glimpse of how good or bad a team will be.  I on the other hand look at PRESEASON games as a way to get a Fantasy Football edge.  I know I could just pick a fantasy football book at the local news stand (wait do those still exist or is that only in Metropolis?), view any NFL covering website with a Fantasy Football section (I enjoy Matthew Berry as much as the next guy), or you can rely on Fantasy Furnace ( @fantasyfurnace ).  I just rather look at the games themselves and breakdown what I see and go from there, so here is my list of things to watch in the Preseason that can help your fantasy football team:

1.  “I’m the Juggernaut Bitch!” Offensive Line Play-  Can they protect?  Are they opening up holes?  I watch the Falcons and we know the right side of the line is easy prey for speed rushers.  If you can’t open holes or protect the precious cargo that is a NFL QB then skill position fantasy numbers will look bad.  See the terrible Jay Cutler numbers, even Josh Freeman line in Tampa is looking shaky.  Look at the back ups, if a starter goes down so will your star players value.  If the 2nd teamers are still producing holes and a solid pocket then your good.  Also check how they move on counters, traps, and screens.  If the line is not fast or athletic enough to win those battles they wont win them in the regular season.

2.  “Don’t Sweat the Technique”, but really you should QB Play-  Does your QB get happy feet in the pocket?  Does your QB throw inaccurate passes or seems to be confused by the offense?  Then your QB is suffering from “Not Going to be Gooditis”.  For QB’s weapons and comfort are paramount.  If the QB can’t make the throws and pick up vanilla blitz packages in the Preseason then what do you think will happen in the Season?  Also don’t let the stats fool you, what kind of throws did he complete to go 6-10 120 yards and a td.  One big completion could have been a WR screen, or a slant that the WR broke and took to the house versus a 2nd team defense.  Was his 4 incompletions  On deep outs, a bad miss on a easy post pattern, or flag route?  You have to see those for yourself.  Don’t believe me, find Blaine Gabberts Preseason tape of last year, he looked great and turned out horrible.  They simplified the offense in Preseason to raise his comfort level.  Vice versa check out how bad Andy Dalton looked in his first Preseason, but he looked bad because the Bengels were running THEIR offense so he struggled, but by the time of the Regular Season he became more and more comfortable.  So again be careful of great stat lines by QB’s

3.  “Got the Moves like Jagger” RB and the eye test-  I’m sure you have watched a game and said he should have cut that back.  Well if you can see that and the RB didn’t that is a lack of vision.  You want your RB to jump out of the screen at you in Preseason.  I will be the first to say that Lamar Miller has not impressed me at all.  I do like Giovani Bernard, he has moves and hands.  When the RB breaks through the first layer of defense is he making defenders miss, running through arm tackles, or just falling when first contact?  It’s a reason that Spiller is still going high even if the Bills O-line is so-so at best, its the wiggle!  He makes people miss.  Players like Eddie Lacy scare me because its a 3 yards and cloud of dust mentality, or the reverse is the Brandon Jacobs syndrome, big guy that doesn’t want to “HULK SMASH” but rather Dance.  Again look for yards after contact, and if one defender is constantly tackling them.  Also small things like how good are they with blitz pick up (bad blitz pick up is a quick way t get you benched see David Wilson, and Montee Ball), and pass catching.  A guy that can’t be used on 3rd downs is not someone I really want on my team, unless you get them late or their name is Marshawn Lynch.

4.  “Just give me the DAMN Ball”  WR/TE-  Separation and Chemistry is 1 and 2 for me.  Can this WR/TE get open and does the QB look for them.  Why is Calvin Johnson so Dominate?  Yes the size and speed help, but he can get open and Stafford loves him.  Even Fitz is enjoying that love so far from Palmer.  Now I hate getting a one trick pony WR (this is looking at you Mike Wallace, prove us wrong), he can only go deep or can only work if another player can stretch the field or pack people underneath.  I know people are hailing Rob Housler as a huge sleeper, but everything I see in Preseason is he can’t get separation.  You look at Jordan Cameron, all he is doing is catching passes with a defender trying to keep up.  Also a big part of separation is good solid route running, it’s great you caught 5 passes in Preseason against a 3rd or 4th stringer but what did you do against the starters?  Also if the QB is not looking your way then have a good day with a doughnut as your fantasy points.  We all love Brandon Pettigrew size and etc, but he doesn’t get open and Stafford doesn’t look his way as much as you think.  Same goes with Martellus Bennett early with the Bears.  Keep an eye on the Floyd, Roberts combo in Arizona and which one Palmer loves the most after Fitz.

5.  DEF/Kickers-  Only rule I have is don’t pick them before your last two rounds.  Let the fools do that, in Preseason I’m just looking for play makers on Special Teams or on defense.  Nothing special because you can rent a Def or Kicker every week.

6.  “Styles make fights” Coaching-  Keep up with Coordinator changes and system turn overs.  Norv Turner new coordinator for the Browns, don’t be surprised if Weeden looks impressive.  Vick could have a resurgence, and Bruce Arians will make one of the RBs in Arizona worth a play once in a while.  Big Ben and Haley are getting along, for now!  Reid will raise Charles value (last year Grandpa Crennel killed me with not getting Charles the ball), and just boost the Chiefs Offense.  Keep an eye on Fasano in that offense, Reid likes TE.

I know this will not make you turn into a Preseason DVR’ing fiend, or sit down in a dark basement with NFL Films music playing in the background and go over coaches tape in Preseason.  Hopefully this will give you something extra to enjoy about Preseason games.  So why not let the games that don’t count, count for YOU, toward your Fantasy Football team.

For really fantasy football help, you know the usual, Sleepers, Bust, Booms, and Rookie candidates check out Fantasy Furnace

Jason "Big J" Allen  @UnsportsmenBigJ

Jason “Big J” Allen
@UnsportsmenBigJ

Eagles a Dynasty with VICK?

By: Maurice “Cool Reece” Thomas

Follow Me @CR_UnSportsMen

“When I look at our football team and what we have on paper … I think we have a chance to be that. I think we have a chance to develop a dynasty,” these words would come back to haunt Michael Vick and the Philadelphia Eagles in 2012.  Maybe Vick was not being dumb, but rather Ms. Cleo and seeing the future.  Maybe it was Andy Reid’s fault for bringing Vick in or making poor Defensive Coordinator decisions?  Now we might have a new coach who could possibly use Vick.

What does new Head Coach Chip Kelly look for in a QB? First, “a QB with big hands to throw the ball”, people always talk about Vick’s small stature and SMALL HANDS; negative for Vick.  Second, “a QB that doesn’t take sacks”, Vick was sacked 7.4% of drop backs 28th highest in the league; negative for Vick.  “QB’s that get the ball out quickly”, because Kelly wants the ball out in 1.5 seconds.  Granted that will be hard in the NFL, but Vick averaged 2.7 seconds and had trouble making quick reads; negative for Vick.  So far Kelly is not looking good for Vick.

Let’s look at the QB’s that have been under Kelly’s tutelage as a Head Coach.

  • Dennis Dixon– Talented guy with an average deep ball, but rarely turns the ball over.  Can run effectively when needed to, but lacked accuracy under pressure and lacks bulk.  Very similar to Vick.
  • Jeremiah Masoli- Got booted from the team but he was a 5’11 speedy QB that had an average arm.  Body type close to Vick, but washed out so we never got to see what he could have been in the system.
  • Darren Thomas- Another 6’3 guy like Dixon, Thomas did have flawed mechanics, so it made him inaccurate at times.  Again he rarely turned the ball over, and was good at making plays with his legs and moving the pocket.
  • Marcus Mariota- It’s early on him but he is also a dual threat pass/run.  Sporting a 6’4 frame, but is a bit lanky.  Has a strong arm and is very accurate

We can see three things in this group, that Kelly can coach with different types, that the players arms don’t have to be great, and that he teaches QB’s how to NOT make mistakes.  These are all factors in Vick’s favor.

Next I looked at a Chip Kelly game, so I watched the last game Chip Kelly coached, the bowl game against Kansas State.  I noticed Oregon ran some of the same plays as the Eagles; a lot of plays from Shotgun, read options, and screens.  What was different was the up tempo offense and dedication to the run game, remember:  PASS HAPPY ANDY REID IS GONE!  Kelly, unlike the Reid, likes to spread the defense to create space.  This year the Eagles ran a lot of bunched formations to help the offensive line protect Vick.

With this new scheme I think it would be great fit the Eagles.  We have a star running back, which can run between the tackles, and has good hands to catch out of the backfield.  The Eagles also have a solid backup at running back, speedy receivers that you have to respect deep so teams will play off thus giving the WR space for quick hitting plays.  If Kelly can keep the offensive line healthy with having a young team we could do damage.

Kelly’s biggest challenge will be the question of who is “HIS quarterback”.  Can he fix Michael Vick and give him a chance to redeem himself ala Jim Harbaugh and Alex Smith?  If Vick is healthy and Kelly can produce a great running game like in Atlanta he might be the guy (until he gets a concussion and Kelly goes with the QB he brings in #Kapernicking). Good luck Eagles, and just don’t talk shit next year.

Maurice "Cool Reece" Thomas @CR_UnSportsMen

Maurice “Cool Reece” Thomas
@CR_UnSportsMen

Falcons Don’t Fly in Philly

The high flying falcons come out of the bye week at 6-0. However, people still have a lot of questions about their authenticity, & for good reason. With the 3-3 Eagles awaiting the Falcons, we may as well consider that winning streak broken. That’s right, go ahead and chalk them up 6-1. The Falcons haven’t won in the state of Pennsylvania since 1974, with an embarrassing record of 0-11-1.

This has been a season of firsts for the Falcons: their first 5-0 start followed by their first 6-0 streak. Matty Ice is the front runner for the MVP, Julio and Roddy alternating week to week to see who goes off, and the ageless Tony G just down right ballin’. With all of these factors on the field, the Falcons should continue trending right, and going on to their first 7-0 winning streak. After that, they just need possibly two more wins to wrap up the NFC South.

I say, “Hell Nah.” This is a bad matchup for the Falcons on all kinds of levels. Between Andy Reid being 13-0 after the bye, the elusiveness of Vick and Shady McCoy, and the speed of DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin, I don’t see them pulling out a win. All of these factors combined will prove too much for them damn dirty birds. My prediction is that the Falcons take the L.

 

Raymond

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